East Carolina
W-L: ( 8- 9) PR = 83.5351Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 208 H Queens Atlantic Su ( 3-12, 76.7) 14- 4 214 H Coastal Carolina Atlantic Su (10- 8, 81.1) 8-12 221 H Elon Colonial ( 7-10, 82.9) 12- 9 225 A Duke ACC ( 9- 8, 91.0) 10-18 228 H San Diego State Big 12 ( 3-13, 79.6) 15- 7 308 A Campbell Colonial (11- 6, 81.7) 9-16 314 A James Madison AAC (14- 7, 90.9) 10-16 321 H Temple AAC (12- 5, 86.5) 8- 7 328 A North Carolina ACC (19- 2, 99.9) 3-23 331 A Virginia Tech ACC ( 9- 8, 87.1) 10-14 404 A Vanderbilt AAC ( 8- 9, 85.2) 13-15 408 A William & Mary Colonial ( 7- 9, 79.9) 16- 9 411 H Old Dominion AAC ( 5-12, 76.2) 8- 7 415 A High Point Big South ( 8-10, 81.9) 14-13 418 A South Florida AAC (12- 5, 88.7) 4-17 425 H UNC-Charlotte AAC ( 6- 9, 78.9) 21-10 430 N James Madison AAC (14- 7, 90.9) 7- 9
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
208 H Queens 14- 4 10 8 1.83
214 H Coastal Carolina 8-12 -4 4 --- -7.76
221 H Elon 12- 9 3 2 1.04
225 A Duke 10-18 -8 -9 0.80
228 H San Diego State 15- 7 8 5 + 2.70
308 A Campbell 9-16 -7 0 --- -7.43
314 A James Madison 10-16 -6 -9 + 2.70
321 H Temple 8- 7 1 -2 + 2.58
328 A North Carolina 3-23 -20 -18 0.00
331 A Virginia Tech 10-14 -4 -5 0.96
404 A Vanderbilt 13-15 -2 -3 1.02
408 A William & Mary 16- 9 7 2 ++ 4.72
411 H Old Dominion 8- 7 1 9 --- -7.74
415 A High Point 14-13 1 0 0.75
418 A South Florida 4-17 -13 -7 --- -6.46
425 H UNC-Charlotte 21-10 11 6 ++ 4.98
430 N James Madison 7- 9 -2 -7 ++ 5.33
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Coastal Carolina 8-12 -4 4 --- -7.76 308 A Campbell 9-16 -7 0 --- -7.43 411 H Old Dominion 8- 7 1 9 --- -7.74 418 A South Florida 4-17 -13 -7 --- -6.46 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 A William & Mary 16- 9 7 2 ++ 4.72 425 H UNC-Charlotte 21-10 11 6 ++ 4.98 430 N James Madison 7- 9 -2 -7 ++ 5.33 228 H San Diego State 15- 7 8 5 + 2.70 314 A James Madison 10-16 -6 -9 + 2.70 321 H Temple 8- 7 1 -2 + 2.58 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Queens ( 3-12, 76.7) 14- 4 -23.17 17.00 -1.37 1.02 31.86
3 H Coastal Caroli (10- 8, 81.1) 8-12 -18.76 21.41 -1.37 1.02 -10.25
3 H Elon ( 7-10, 82.9) 12- 9 -16.96 23.21 -1.37 1.02 44.52
3 A Duke ( 9- 8, 91.0) 10-18 -8.94 31.23 1.37 1.02 -3.86
3 H San Diego Stat ( 3-13, 79.6) 15- 7 -20.30 19.87 -1.37 1.02 37.71
3 A Campbell (11- 6, 81.7) 9-16 -18.17 22.00 1.37 1.02 -8.56
3 A James Madison (14- 7, 90.9) 10-16 -9.04 31.13 1.37 1.02 -3.91
3 H Temple (12- 5, 86.5) 8- 7 -13.42 26.75 -1.37 1.02 51.73
3 A North Carolina (19- 2, 99.9) 3-23 -0.00 40.17 1.37 1.02 -0.70
3 A Virginia Tech ( 9- 8, 87.1) 10-14 -12.77 27.39 1.37 1.02 -5.81
3 A Vanderbilt ( 8- 9, 85.2) 13-15 -14.71 25.46 1.37 1.02 -6.80
3 A William & Mary ( 7- 9, 79.9) 16- 9 -20.02 20.15 1.37 1.02 43.86
3 H Old Dominion ( 5-12, 76.2) 8- 7 -23.74 16.43 -1.37 1.02 30.70
3 A High Point ( 8-10, 81.9) 14-13 -17.98 22.19 1.37 1.02 48.00
3 A South Florida (12- 5, 88.7) 4-17 -11.20 28.97 1.37 1.02 -5.01
3 H UNC-Charlotte ( 6- 9, 78.9) 21-10 -21.02 19.15 -1.37 1.02 36.24
3 N James Madison (14- 7, 90.9) 7- 9 -9.04 31.13 -0.00 1.02 -4.60
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275.12
|
winning pts = 324.6115 losing points = -49.4935
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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